Capitals vs. Canadiens Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 5

The Washington Capitals take the ice for Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round against the Montreal Canadiens at Capital One Arena on Wednesday, April 30, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Capitals are on top 3-1 in the series. The Capitals are the favorite (-190) in this matchup with the Canadiens (+158).

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Ahead of this matchup, here is who we project to take home the victory in Wednesday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Capitals vs. Canadiens Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this game predicts a final result of Capitals 4, Canadiens 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-190)
• Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Capitals (-1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

• The Capitals (51-22-9 overall) have a 9-9-18 record in games that have gone to overtime.
• In the 25 games Washington has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 15-4-6 record (good for 36 points).
• The 11 times this season the Capitals finished a game with only one goal, they went 1-9-1 (three points).
• Washington has finished 2-8-2 in the 12 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering six points).
• The Capitals are 51-3-6 in the 60 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 108 points).
• In the 32 games when Washington has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 20-9-3 record (43 points).
• In the 47 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Washington is 32-11-4 (68 points).
• The Capitals have been outshot by opponents in 37 games, going 21-11-5 to register 47 points.

Canadiens Splits and Trends

• The Canadiens have posted a record of 10-12-22 in overtime contests as part of an overall mark of 40-31-11.
• In the 28 games Montreal has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 40 points.
• This season the Canadiens recorded just one goal in 10 games and have gone 2-7-1 (five points).
• Montreal has earned 10 points (3-11-4 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
• The Canadiens have earned 78 points in their 53 games with at least three goals scored.
• This season, Montreal has recorded a single power-play goal in 33 games and picked up 39 points with a record of 16-10-7.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Montreal is 18-10-2 (38 points).
• The Canadiens have been outshot by opponents in 53 games, going 22-21-10 to record 54 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Capitals vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.

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