Capitals vs. Canadiens Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 4

placeholder image

The Washington Capitals and Montreal Canadiens meet in Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Bell Centre on Sunday, April 27, beginning at 6:30 p.m. ET on TBS. The Capitals are on top 2-1 in the series. Bookmakers give the Capitals -134 odds on the moneyline in this matchup against the Canadiens (+114).

Watch the NHL, other live sports and more on Max. Use our link to sign up today.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which team will emerge victorious in Sunday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Capitals vs. Canadiens Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projections model for this matchup expects a final tally of Canadiens 4, Capitals 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Canadiens (+114)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Canadiens (+1.5)

Catch NHL action all season long on Max.

Capitals Splits and Trends

  • The Capitals have finished 9-9-18 in overtime matchups to contribute to an overall record of 51-22-9.
  • In the 25 games Washington has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 15-4-6 record (good for 36 points).
  • Looking at the 11 times this season the Capitals finished a game with just one goal, they have a 1-9-1 record, good for three points.
  • Washington has finished 2-8-2 in the 12 games this season when it scored two goals (registering six points).
  • The Capitals are 50-3-6 in the 59 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 106 points).
  • In the 32 games when Washington has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 20-9-3 record (43 points).
  • When it has outshot its opponent, Washington is 31-11-4 (66 points).
  • The Capitals have been outshot by opponents in 37 games, going 21-11-5 to record 47 points.

Canadiens Splits and Trends

  • The Canadiens have a 10-12-22 record in overtime contests this season and a 40-31-11 overall record.
  • In the 28 games Montreal has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 40 points.
  • Across the 10 games this season the Canadiens ended with only one goal, they have earned five points.
  • Montreal has 10 points (3-10-4) when scoring two goals this season.
  • The Canadiens have earned 78 points in their 53 games with three or more goals scored.
  • Montreal has scored a single power-play goal in 33 games this season and has registered 39 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Montreal is 18-10-2 (38 points).
  • The Canadiens have been outshot by opponents in 52 games, going 22-20-10 to register 54 points.

Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.

Team Stats Comparison

Capitals Rank Capitals AVG Canadiens AVG Canadiens Rank
2nd 3.49 Goals Scored 2.96 17th
8th 2.79 Goals Allowed 3.18 22nd
22nd 27.6 Shots 25.5 30th
10th 27.2 Shots Allowed 29 23rd
14th 23.53% Power Play % 20.09% 21st
5th 82.01% Penalty Kill % 80.93% 9th

Capitals vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Bell Centre in Montréal, Quebec

Sign up for Max to watch the Capitals take on Canadiens.


Sponsored Content

Sponsored Content