Capitals vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - March 3

The Washington Capitals (38-14-8, on a three-game losing streak) host the Ottawa Senators (30-25-4) at Capital One Arena. The matchup on Monday, March 3 begins at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Sign up for ESPN+ today to watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more.

As hockey play continues, get ready for the matchup by checking out which squad we project to win Monday's game.

The Senators have a 5-5-0 record in their last 10 games. They have scored 32 goals while allowing 29 in that period. On the power play, 38 opportunities have resulted in 10 goals (26.3% success rate).

Capitals vs. Senators Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this game calls for a final score of Capitals 4, Senators 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-148)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Capitals (-1.5)

Watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more streaming all season on ESPN+.

Capitals Splits and Trends

• The Capitals (38-14-8 overall) have a 5-8-13 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
• Washington is 11-4-5 (27 points) in its 20 games decided by one goal.
• The eight times this season the Capitals finished a game with only one goal, they went 1-6-1 (three points).
• Washington has taken five points from the nine games this season when it scored exactly two goals (2-6-1 record).
• The Capitals have scored three or more goals 42 times, and are 35-1-6 in those games (to register 76 points).
• In the 23 games when Washington has scored a single power-play goal, it went 15-5-3 to register 33 points.
• In the 31 games when it outshot its opponent, Washington is 21-7-3 (45 points).
• The Capitals' opponents have had more shots in 27 games. The Capitals finished 16-6-5 in those matchups (37 points).

Senators Splits and Trends

• The Senators have a 7-4-11 record in overtime matchups this season and a 30-25-4 overall record.
• In the 21 games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 29 points.
• This season the Senators scored only one goal in eight games and they lost every time.
• When Ottawa has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned nine points (4-8-1 record).
• The Senators have scored at least three goals in 32 games, earning 54 points from those contests.
• This season, Ottawa has scored a single power-play goal in 19 games has a record of 9-8-2 in those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Ottawa is 15-11-1 (31 points).
• The Senators have been outshot by opponents 29 times this season, and earned 30 points in those games.

Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.

Team Stats Comparison

Capitals vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Monday, March 3, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.

Sign up for ESPN+ to watch the Capitals square off against Senators.