Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - December 28

The Eastern Conference's second-ranked squad, the Washington Capitals (23-9-2), visit the third-ranked team from the conference, the Toronto Maple Leafs (22-12-2), on Saturday, December 28 at 7:00 PM ET on NHL Network.

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Here is our prediction for who will secure the win in Saturday's matchup.

The Maple Leafs are 6-4-0 in their past 10 contests, scoring 35 goals while conceding 29 in that period. On 24 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored six goals (25.0%).

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this encounter expects a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Capitals 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (+105)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

• The Capitals are 3-2-5 in overtime contests as part of a 23-9-2 overall record.
• Washington has 16 points (7-3-2) in the 12 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the four games this season the Capitals scored just one goal, they finished 0-3-1.
• Washington finished 1-4-0 in the five games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
• The Capitals have scored more than two goals in 24 games (22-1-1, 45 points).
• In the 13 games when Washington has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has a 9-4-0 record (18 points).
• In the 20 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Washington is 16-4-0 (32 points).
• The Capitals have been outshot by opponents in 14 games, going 7-5-2 to register 16 points.

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have a record of 22-12-2 this season and are 3-2-5 in overtime games.
• In the nine games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
• This season the Maple Leafs recorded only one goal in five games and they finished 0-4-1 in those matchups.
• Toronto has two points (1-5-0) in six games this season when it has scored two goals.
• The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals 23 times, earning 43 points from those matchups (21-1-1).
• This season, Toronto has recorded a lone power-play goal in 13 games and registered 17 points with a record of 8-4-1.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 10-4-0 (20 points).
• The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 21 games. The Maple Leafs went 12-7-2 in those contests (26 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, December 28, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: NHL Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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